WHO I AM and WHAT I DO ...
Howard Phillips, PhD
The purpose of this site is to demonstrate that forecasting
accuracy can be consistently higher than 60% using
financial engineering, a new field of engineering
forecasting theory. In actual practice, the forecasting
accuracy of these predictions typically runs in the
range of 70%, 80% and even higher, depending on market
conditions and the existence of trends.
My university research
The information provided from this web site is provided by
me in my role as a university researcher, and THERE IS NO
CHARGE for the forecasting information, and there are NO
SOLICITATIONS herein.
I am a university researcher and a faculty member at The
University of North Carolina at Charlotte. UNCC is pleased
to have corporate sponsors provide funds for students to
carry out research, usually leading to a masters or
doctorate program. Corporate sponsors, or potential
sponsors, of research grants are invited to contact me to
learn about research opportunities in the field of financial
forecasting and/or other kinds of business forecasting.
I am an investor and operate a small consulting
practice.
My consulting practice
This consulting practice was formed in 1987 to apply
engineering forecasting methods and artificial intelligence
optimization methods to publicly-traded financial
markets.
I provide daily customized-portfolio investment advisories
to clients for an annual fee of $25,000. The client pays no
consulting fees until a trial evaluation proves that the
advisories result in profitability improvements, reduced
drawdowns, and specific buy/hold/sell recommendations with a
known forecasting accuracy. During the trial evaluation,
the client is asked to pay only for the FAX costs incurred
in providing the advisories to the client (typically about
$1 per day for FAX costs).
How do I differentiate this service from the
competition? --
I customize investment portfolios for
each client, including only the investment issues (stocks,
bonds, mutual funds) that the client selects. I offer a
try-before-buy evaluation for the client, to prove that
profitability improvements will result. The customized
portfolio advisories are fitted to the investment style of
the client. Specific long/cash/short and/or buy/hold/sell
recommendations are provided with a known forecasting
accuracy. The forecasting accuracy is proven and reported
on a daily basis to give the client confidence in the
forecasts.
Why do my clients need these forecasts? --
Profitability improvements, reduced drawdowns, customized
portfolio analysis, and specific buy/hold/sell
recommendations with a known forecasting accuracy. I have
developed a technology which combines artificial
intelligence and forecasting theory to forecast investment
and trading opportunities with a consistently higher
forecasting accuracy than any other organization.
How do we excel? --
This stock and mutual fund
advisory service ALWAYS posts the PROVEN forecasting
accuracy. In market conditions since 1995, we have
consistently shown a forecasting accuracy in the range of
70% to 90%. This is an ADAPTIVE forecasting system. It
responds and ADAPTS to changing market conditions. This is
necessary in rapidly-changing financial markets. I use
forecasting theory developed for engineering applications to
analyze trends, coupled with learn-and-optimize techniques
from the field of artificial intelligence and a filtering
method to separate the orderly price moves from the random
price moves.
How do I acquire new clients?
By referral from
third parties. Measurable forecasting accuracy provides a
proven track record for evaluation.The effectiveness of the
proven forecasting accuracy speaks for itself.
Who are my clients? --
Clients are money managers
having P/L responsibility for more than $100 million in
assets under management. Not stock brokers, private
investors, financial analysts, newsletter publishers or
quantitative analysts.
Potential clients (INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS ONLY, PLEASE) can
contact me at:
Howard Phillips, Ph.D.
4300 Castle Ridge Court
Charlotte, NC 28269
Tel: 704-593-1166
FAX: 704-593-1002
Click here to see my
professional biography
FOR MORE INFORMATION --
I can not respond to all
of the telephone and email inquiries being received by me
from private investors, but interested investors can obtain
a copy of a publication that is provided for only the cost
of preparation, publishing and handling (a
not-for-profit accommodation and service for web site
visitors who plan to use this forecasting information for
investing). Investors can send for a copy of my
publication "PRICE FORECASTS -- HOW TO INTERPRET PRICE
FORECASTS AND INVEST PROFITABLY." This information is
not available on-line or via email because of the
drawings and script used throughout the publication to
explain the information.
To obtain a copy, send a check ($25.00) to:
PRICE FORECASTS
4300 Castle Ridge Court
Charlotte, NC 28269
Click here for more info
about forecasts.
3-Star award received from Magellan, after more than
40,000 internet
web site reviews. Award based on depth of content, ease of
exploration and net appeal.
Howard Phillips (hphillip@uncc.edu)